References: “What’s both massive and slender, and thin but convincing?”
References for Rob Gandy's article, "What’s both massive and slender, and thin but convincing?", published…
Brian TarranSeptember 10, 2021
Comparing and assessing Covid-19 tests
Image created by Russell TateThis article explores what people mean when they talk about testing…
Forecast error: Predictors of the 2017 UK general election
On 18 April 2017 British Prime Minister Theresa May announced a snap general election for…
Timothy Martyn HillJuly 5, 2017
How to explain screening test outcomes
Consider the following problem: “The serum test screens pregnant women for babies with Down's syndrome.…
Tim BrockApril 27, 2017
Slow-talking the inaugural
Before Donald Trump's inaugural speech on Friday, 20 January, I wondered whether he would turn…
Mark LibermanJanuary 24, 2017
Forecast error: presidential election polls and predictors
On Tuesday, 8 November 2016, the United States will hold its 58th quadrennial presidential election.…
Timothy Martyn HillNovember 2, 2016
Forecast error: European referenda, past and present
Should we stay or should we go? That is the question being put to voters…
Timothy Martyn HillMay 25, 2016
How much did the polls vary from the general election result?
In the run up to polling day earlier this month, a large number of opinion…
Nambassa NakatuddeMay 29, 2015
The Phillips Curve revisited
In my first article, A short overview of the Phillips Curve, I outlined the complicated…
Michael MernaghSeptember 19, 2013
Deciding abortions by the toss of a coin?
I was recently listening to public radio one morning. I live in the U.S. and…
Michael A. LewisJuly 3, 2013
Bernoulli and the foundations of statistics: can you correct a 300-year-old error?
Ars Conjectandi is not a book that non-statisticians will have heard of, nor one that…
Julian ChampkinJune 10, 2013
PhDs couldn’t tell an actor from a renowned scientist
Forty years ago, a singularly interesting lecture was held at the University of Southern California…
Mikhail SimkinJuly 4, 2011
