Forecast error: 2020 US presidential election predictors
Photo by Clay Banks on UnsplashEarly in 2020 the 45th President of the United States…
Timothy Martyn HillJuly 28, 2021
Forecast error: How to predict an election, part 2: Betting
In 1979, Mr Tony Barlow was interviewed by the BBC. He had a nice house…
Forecast error: presidential election polls and predictors
On Tuesday, 8 November 2016, the United States will hold its 58th quadrennial presidential election.…
Timothy Martyn HillNovember 2, 2016
The 2016 Prediction Games – Part II
Now that the sun has set on the Rio 2016 Olympic Games, it’s time to…
Tim PauldenAugust 27, 2016
The 2016 Prediction Games – Part I
Prior to the start of the 2016 Olympic Games, over a dozen different groups around…
Tim PauldenAugust 17, 2016
Belgium to win Euro 2016? A Q&A on probabilistic predictions
England fans might have been disappointed to see their football team crash out of the…
Brian TarranJune 30, 2016
The past, present and future of prediction
Our US readers will be aware that April is Mathematics Awareness Month (MAM) – and…
Brian TarranApril 11, 2016
The 10 most-read articles of 2015
In a year that has seen Star Wars return to the big screen, it is…
Brian TarranDecember 23, 2015
How to identify goal scoring ability in football
The transfer market in football is a strange beast. For anyone who doesn't know how…
Ian McHale & Łukasz SzczepańskiAugust 19, 2015
Was anyone right about the pre-election polls?
There has been much wailing and gnashing of blogs since the dismal performance of the…
David SpiegelhalterMay 18, 2015
The World Cup group stage: predictions through the betting markets
The FIFA World Cup is just round the corner, kicking off in mid-June and ending…
Dominic CortisJune 2, 2014
