Data We used data from the sources listed below: 1. Ballotpedia. Endorsements by Donald Trump.…
Sina Chen and John KörtnerMay 16, 2022
Voting intention polls appear to have an accuracy problem. The UK House of Lords recently…
Timothy Martyn HillAugust 7, 2018
Unlike the 2015 general election, when the polls were essentially static (and wrong) throughout, the…
Nigel MarriottJune 6, 2017
https://unsplash.com/@jamie452I have decided to build a model to try to predict the results of the…
Gianluca BaioMay 30, 2017
When British Prime Minister Theresa May called a snap election for 8 June 2017, it…
Timothy Martyn HillMay 15, 2017
In the US presidential election, the final poll of polls compiled by Real Clear Politics…
Paul WhiteleyNovember 11, 2016
On Tuesday, 8 November 2016, the United States will hold its 58th quadrennial presidential election.…
Timothy Martyn HillNovember 2, 2016
When FiveThirtyEight editor Nate Silver predicted in June that Donald Trump had a 20 per…
Bernard Baffour and Joshua BonOctober 19, 2016
Estimating the likely outcome of the referendum on the UK’s membership of the EU was…
John CurticeJune 27, 2016
Should we stay or should we go? That is the question being put to voters…
Timothy Martyn HillMay 25, 2016
“General election polls in 2015 ‘the most inaccurate’,” said the BBC. “Polling shake-up planned after…
Brian TarranApril 5, 2016
"Over a third of students ‘no longer wish to study medicine’ amid the junior doctors’…
Robert FordJanuary 20, 2016
There are many opportunities for us to make wrong decisions in life – whether it…
Brian TarranJune 16, 2015
After the pre-election polls spectacularly failed to predict a Conservative majority, many are seriously asking…
Oz FlanaganJune 11, 2015
In the run up to polling day earlier this month, a large number of opinion…
Nambassa NakatuddeMay 29, 2015
There has been much wailing and gnashing of blogs since the dismal performance of the…
David SpiegelhalterMay 18, 2015
If the opinion polls had proved accurate, we would have woken up on the morning…
Leighton Vaughan WilliamsMay 11, 2015
Election season is now well underway in the UK and every scandal, botched interview and…
Deirdre Toher & Robin EvansMarch 11, 2015
