Archive Archives - Significance magazine

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Appendix to “Uncovering Amazonia: how statistics dismantled a myth” – November 2024 volume 21 issue 5

Table 2.a Summary of estimation for the model for regression of earthwork presence probability on…

Dani GamermanOctober 1, 2024

Elderly Indian man wearing glasses and standing in front of a bookcase containing his works

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Letter: Memories of C. R. Rao

I was at a conference in Sheffield sometime in the 1980s (from memory), which had…

Anna BrittenDecember 15, 2023

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Appendices to ‘Fatal error: Who is winning in the war between Russia and Ukraine?’?

APPENDICES APPENDIX 1: REFERENCES : Theory of Victory, Turkey and Russian mobilization https://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/world/how-wars-end and https://www.amazon.com/Between-War-Peace-America-Ends/dp/1439194610…

Timothy Martyn HillSeptember 5, 2023

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Puzzle: Non-transitive dice

Consider six dice, each with six numbers on them. The numbers 1 to 36 are…

Michael FletcherJune 6, 2022

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Appendix: Did “Trumpists” perform worse in US Senate election polls?

Data We used data from the sources listed below: 1. Ballotpedia. Endorsements by Donald Trump.…

Sina Chen and John KörtnerMay 16, 2022

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Are professors and football stars just lucky?

You probably have a boss. A manager, an executive, the head honcho. How did they…

Anna BeukenhorstMay 6, 2022

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Puzzle: Oh no! Puncture!

Driving in France recently, I got a puncture in my tyre. I was 13 km…

Michael FletcherApril 20, 2022

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Probability puzzle: How many balls in the bag?

Last week our village had a fête. One of the competitions on offer was to…

Michael FletcherFebruary 14, 2022

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The history of the data economy

Data is now the fuel that drives business – identifying potential markets, shaping new products…

Timandra HarknessJanuary 5, 2022

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Probability puzzle: Classroom bingo

Photo by CDC on UnsplashA primary schoolteacher is playing a game with her class. She…

Michael FletcherDecember 13, 2021

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Probability puzzle: A certain bet

Photo by Sandro Schuh on UnsplashFor fans of the England soccer team, this summer’s European…

Michael FletcherOctober 18, 2021

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References: “What’s both massive and slender, and thin but convincing?”

References for Rob Gandy's article, "What’s both massive and slender, and thin but convincing?", published…

Brian TarranSeptember 10, 2021

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The results are in from the Tokyo Olympics: Athletes 1, Covid 0

Photo by K. K. Yam Amot on UnsplashLeading up to the Tokyo Olympics, there was…

Ray StefaniSeptember 7, 2021

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How ideas from decision theory can help guide our actions

Photo by Jan Genge on UnsplashThe UK is currently experiencing an infection wave following the…

Sylvia Richardson and David SpiegelhalterAugust 11, 2021

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Probability puzzle: Higher or lower?

Once upon a time, Play Your Cards Right was a popular Australian and British TV…

Michael FletcherAugust 11, 2021

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Forecast error: 2020 US presidential election predictors

Photo by Clay Banks on UnsplashEarly in 2020 the 45th President of the United States…

Timothy Martyn HillJuly 28, 2021

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Governments in Africa have doubled ‘false news’ laws, to little effect. Another way is possible

Photo by Bank Phrom on Unsplash In the five years after the world woke…

Peter Cunliffe-JonesJune 7, 2021

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Misinterpreting statistical anomalies and risk assessment when analysing Covid-19 deaths by ethnicity

Bigstockphoto/Andreajk3Imagine there is a country called Bayesland that is divided into two distinct geographical areas…

Norman Fenton, Martin Neil, Scott McLachlan and Magda OsmanApril 14, 2021

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200 years of Greek independence… and Prime Ministers

Photo by Matt Artz on UnsplashThursday, 25 March 2021 saw Bicentenary Independence Day celebrations in…

Julian Stander, Katerina Tzioli and Mario Cortina BorjaApril 8, 2021

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Using Zipf’s law to help understand Covid-19

Photo by Glen Carrie on UnsplashThe Covid-19 pandemic is a rapidly moving challenge. As countries…

Debra M. Boka, Paul Velleman and Howard WainerMarch 18, 2021