Archive You can trust the polls in 2018, if you read them carefully On the morning of 8 November 2016, many Americans went to bed confident that Hillary…Josh Pasek and Michael TraugottSeptember 27, 2018
Archive UK general election: Five steps to make sense of the latest polls Unlike the 2015 general election, when the polls were essentially static (and wrong) throughout, the…Nigel MarriottJune 6, 2017
Archive What’s happened to the polls since the 2015 UK election? When British Prime Minister Theresa May called a snap election for 8 June 2017, it…Timothy Martyn HillMay 15, 2017
Archive Forecast error: presidential election polls and predictors On Tuesday, 8 November 2016, the United States will hold its 58th quadrennial presidential election.…Timothy Martyn HillNovember 2, 2016
Archive Forecast error: European referenda, past and present Should we stay or should we go? That is the question being put to voters…Timothy Martyn HillMay 25, 2016
Archive Voodoo polls are bad news: here’s how to spot and stop them "Over a third of students ‘no longer wish to study medicine’ amid the junior doctors’…Robert FordJanuary 20, 2016
Archive Politics is broken: The Guardian’s Alberto Nardelli on the fragmentation of party support It’s almost the end of party conference season in the UK – a time in…Brian TarranOctober 8, 2015
Archive Pollgate: hindsight is wonderful but it doesn’t answer what went wrong After the pre-election polls spectacularly failed to predict a Conservative majority, many are seriously asking…Oz FlanaganJune 11, 2015
Archive How much did the polls vary from the general election result? In the run up to polling day earlier this month, a large number of opinion…Nambassa NakatuddeMay 29, 2015
Archive Was anyone right about the pre-election polls? There has been much wailing and gnashing of blogs since the dismal performance of the…David SpiegelhalterMay 18, 2015
Archive The political pollsters’ report card: the statisticians’ verdict Election season is now well underway in the UK and every scandal, botched interview and…Deirdre Toher & Robin EvansMarch 11, 2015