Forecast error: 2020 US presidential election predictors
Photo by Clay Banks on UnsplashEarly in 2020 the 45th President of the United States…
Timothy Martyn HillJuly 28, 2021
Forecast error: How to predict an election, part 2: Betting
In 1979, Mr Tony Barlow was interviewed by the BBC. He had a nice house…
Forecast error: Predictors of the 2017 UK general election
On 18 April 2017 British Prime Minister Theresa May announced a snap general election for…
Timothy Martyn HillJuly 5, 2017
Forecast error: presidential election polls and predictors
On Tuesday, 8 November 2016, the United States will hold its 58th quadrennial presidential election.…
Timothy Martyn HillNovember 2, 2016
Does Donald Trump “defy all odds”?
When FiveThirtyEight editor Nate Silver predicted in June that Donald Trump had a 20 per…
Bernard Baffour and Joshua BonOctober 19, 2016
Ask a statistician: Why can we not predict earthquakes?
Hundreds of people have been killed since the start of the year as a result…
Brian TarranAugust 25, 2016
The past, present and future of prediction
Our US readers will be aware that April is Mathematics Awareness Month (MAM) – and…
Brian TarranApril 11, 2016
Is Warren Buffett poking fun at sports statisticians?
Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway and Dan Gilbert's Quicken Loans are going to make this year’s…
Stephanie KovalchikFebruary 3, 2014
