Archive Playing with risk Imagine you hold three six-sided dice in your hand. Now throw them, and before they…Brian TarranDecember 3, 2018
Archive Does Donald Trump “defy all odds”? When FiveThirtyEight editor Nate Silver predicted in June that Donald Trump had a 20 per…Bernard Baffour and Joshua BonOctober 19, 2016
Archive EU referendum – how the polls got it wrong again Estimating the likely outcome of the referendum on the UK’s membership of the EU was…John CurticeJune 27, 2016