Playing with risk Archive Playing with riskImagine you hold three six-sided dice in your hand. Now throw them, and before they…Brian TarranDecember 3, 2018
Does Donald Trump “defy all odds”? Archive Does Donald Trump “defy all odds”?When FiveThirtyEight editor Nate Silver predicted in June that Donald Trump had a 20 per…Bernard Baffour and Joshua BonOctober 19, 2016
EU referendum – how the polls got it wrong again Archive EU referendum – how the polls got it wrong againEstimating the likely outcome of the referendum on the UK’s membership of the EU was…John CurticeJune 27, 2016