2023 Rugby World Cup final: We predict the outcome
It’s quarter-final week at the 2023 Rugby World Cup (RWC). The quarter-final match-ups are (1)…
Niven WinchesterOctober 13, 2023
Forecast error: How to predict an election, part 2: Betting
In 1979, Mr Tony Barlow was interviewed by the BBC. He had a nice house…
Forecast error: presidential election polls and predictors
On Tuesday, 8 November 2016, the United States will hold its 58th quadrennial presidential election.…
Timothy Martyn HillNovember 2, 2016
A summer of sport (and statistics)
It has been four years since sport last graced the cover of our print magazine.…
Brian TarranJune 8, 2016
Why the polls got it so wrong in the British election
If the opinion polls had proved accurate, we would have woken up on the morning…
Leighton Vaughan WilliamsMay 11, 2015
The World Cup group stage: predictions through the betting markets
The FIFA World Cup is just round the corner, kicking off in mid-June and ending…
Dominic CortisJune 2, 2014
