Forecast error: Predictors of the 2017 UK general election
On 18 April 2017 British Prime Minister Theresa May announced a snap general election for…
Timothy Martyn HillJuly 5, 2017
UK general election: Five steps to make sense of the latest polls
Unlike the 2015 general election, when the polls were essentially static (and wrong) throughout, the…
Predicting the UK’s snap general election
https://unsplash.com/@jamie452I have decided to build a model to try to predict the results of the…
Gianluca BaioMay 30, 2017
What’s happened to the polls since the 2015 UK election?
When British Prime Minister Theresa May called a snap election for 8 June 2017, it…
Timothy Martyn HillMay 15, 2017
6 Nations Rugby – who’s the biggest overachiever?
The 6 Nations Rugby championship kicks off in a little over three weeks. England is…
Ray StefaniJanuary 12, 2017
Yes, the polls were wrong. But it is time we understood their limitations
“General election polls in 2015 ‘the most inaccurate’,” said the BBC. “Polling shake-up planned after…
Brian TarranApril 5, 2016
Overachievers and underachievers at the last three Rugby World Cups
It doesn’t take a sophisticated analysis to conclude that the England team was a disappointment…
Ray StefaniFebruary 23, 2016
The 10 most-read articles of 2015
In a year that has seen Star Wars return to the big screen, it is…
Brian TarranDecember 23, 2015
Politics is broken: The Guardian’s Alberto Nardelli on the fragmentation of party support
It’s almost the end of party conference season in the UK – a time in…
Brian TarranOctober 8, 2015
The winner of the 2015 Young Statisticians Writing Competition is…
James Skeffington was today announced as the winner of the 2015 Young Statisticians Writing Competition…
Brian TarranSeptember 9, 2015
Electoral bias in the UK after the general election
After the shock result of the UK’s 2015 general election, one could forgive Labour and…
Charles Pattie & Ron JohnstonJune 26, 2015
Making mistakes, minimising error – June 2015 issue preview
There are many opportunities for us to make wrong decisions in life – whether it…
Brian TarranJune 16, 2015
How much did the polls vary from the general election result?
In the run up to polling day earlier this month, a large number of opinion…
Nambassa NakatuddeMay 29, 2015
